Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2949.471570 3188.045758 3429.820319 3692.860513 3970.642562 4254.946941 4567.592410
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2596.661133 2954.968156 3331.606112 3755.783326 4218.942635 4708.078683 5262.443109
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2315.458861 2740.588738 3199.972055 3730.723769 4324.435168 4965.572239 5707.664414
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2165.371438 2646.848833 3178.910674 3806.306770 4521.607558 5307.513832 6231.952041
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2013.046000 2534.231666 3122.005011 3827.871290 4646.280649 5559.149490 6647.991511
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1873.945156 2424.868932 3057.991774 3831.128422 4741.264025 5770.251792 7012.847757
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1691.754048 2252.079241 2908.545472 3723.853373 4698.344251 5814.937263 7179.782021
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1647.876517 2242.576037 2949.772523 3839.505022 4915.265257 6160.337384 7696.038226
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1588.687366 2209.570303 2958.772042 3913.259643 5080.191720 6443.828125 8140.281335
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1499.169656 2133.098181 2909.766214 3912.139583 5151.603914 6614.204819 8449.622549
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1405.216394 2045.805615 2842.676768 3884.413625 5187.011997 6738.832800 8702.670126
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1348.083225 2003.127909 2829.043035 3920.983806 5299.696801 6955.795319 9066.825891
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1274.816697 1936.906152 2783.993548 3917.568853 5363.769487 7116.182257 9367.099375
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1235.286084 1914.064550 2793.708698 3983.314836 5514.651083 7384.198502 9801.274947
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1161.842981 1841.202648 2734.545651 3957.131879 5546.804330 7503.868298 10052.449452
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1134.563967 1830.666957 2756.740714 4036.097308 5712.758971 7790.443543 10511.353576
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1087.993258 1790.619369 2737.335408 4058.623668 5805.030158 7984.359684 10855.571907
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1037.533117 1742.575763 2704.947506 4062.025955 5871.142195 8144.603645 11157.794087
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 950.127530 1636.837572 2589.435850 3949.953150 5782.750570 8105.710233 11206.892076
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 946.542685 1654.398934 2645.338463 4070.775716 6002.287100 8461.989023 11758.907209
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 928.844655 1649.843553 2669.470648 4147.806930 6163.911844 8744.698198 12219.079665
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 887.224073 1607.169164 2637.904998 4146.637230 6220.097911 8890.787177 12504.945832
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 839.425829 1552.840945 2587.670173 4117.681329 6237.435266 8985.452738 12724.419082